Will “Disgraziad” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Disgraziad” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Disgraziad
- Probability
- 49% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | Disgraziad |  Polymarket | No |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Disgraziad | Polymarket | Yes |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Disgraziad | Polymarket | Yes |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Disgraziad | Polymarket | No |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Disgraziad | Polymarket | No |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Disgraziad | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Disgraziad” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Disgraziad” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 6, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Disgraziad” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Disgraziad’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/disgraziad (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=disgraziad · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP