All-In Podcast: Episode, Dec 6, 2025
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast?
Markets
20 words · 3 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Communist / Mamdani | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical / AOC | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disgraziad | Yes | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Bubble | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| BRICS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dumb / Kamala | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dystopian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Genesis | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gobble Gobble | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Low IQ / Crockett | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Middle-school Math | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pete / Hegseth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Quagmire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Quizzical | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shahed | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steve / Witkoff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Uber Investor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unconstitutional | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| VPN / Censorship | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-326 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP