All-In Podcast: Episode, Dec 26, 2025
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast?
Markets
19 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden / Kamala | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Data Center | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Scott / Bessent | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tequila | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Unemployment | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AOC | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Coffee / Tea | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein / Island | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Disgraziad | Yes | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Santa / Elf | Yes | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Elizabeth / Warren | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Idiot / Dumb | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Interest Rate | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Adam / Eve | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Moon / Mars | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Argentina | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-339 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP