Will “China” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “China” was said on All-In Podcast in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (80%), most recently on Apr 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
China
- Probability
- 66% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…then we're going to turn that off. And then meanwhile, you've got China saying, come over here, come and see what it's like over here,…
…$15 billion. The cost in France is four, and the cost in China is one. I think we're in this hysteria phase of AI dumerism.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “China” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “China” was said on All-In Podcast in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (80%), most recently on Apr 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “China” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP