All-In Podcast: Episode, Mar 6, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 6)
Markets
21 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data Center | Yes | 79%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anthropic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dario / Amodei | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Department of War | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Guard | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rail | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sam / Altman | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Skynet | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Audit | No | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ayatollah | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| CEO 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cuba | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NASA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wild | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| California | No | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-march-6 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP