Will “California” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “California” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (60%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
California
- Probability
- 55% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in a massive energy deficit, an electron deficit. We are by 2050 about 1.4 terawatt hours short, which means about six California's worth of electricity.
…who's the general counsel at Encode AI, they're the group that basically pushed for SB53 in California. They're pushing for all these state-level AI laws.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | California |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 13, 2026 | California | Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 6, 2026 | California | Polymarket | No |
| Feb 27, 2026 | California | Polymarket | No |
| Jan 9, 2026 | California | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “California” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “California” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (60%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “California” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/california (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP