Will “Sam / Altman” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Sam / Altman” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (40%), most recently on Mar 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Sam / Altman
- Probability
- 44% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…open AI investor, you're not on the board, I don't think. Right, you're not on the board. What's the story with Sam Altman's equity grant?
…of feel this, you know, like this week you had Dario and Sam go to the United Nations and say we need some sort of…
…and Dustin Moskowitz, who co-led the Series A of Anthropik along with Sam Bankman-Fried. It was an EA-funded round, which is a really interesting detail…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Sam / Altman |  Polymarket | No |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Sam / Altman | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Sam / Altman | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sam / Altman | Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Sam / Altman | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Sam / Altman” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Sam / Altman” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (40%), most recently on Mar 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Sam / Altman” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Sam / Altman’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/altman-or-sam (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=altman%20%2F%20sam · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP