Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on World News Tonight in 5 of 7 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, any host or reporter) in 8.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 48% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…ALREADY THAT WOULD POTENTIALLY BLOCK CERTIFICATION OF THE ALASKA SENATE RACE IF THE REPUBLICAN DOES NOT WIN. PRESIDENT TRUMP TONIGHT SAYING HE TOLD THE DOJ
THE NEW ARREST, THE THREAT AGAINST PRESIDENT TRUMP. JUST IN TONIGHT, A WOMAN CHARGED WITH THREATENING TO KILL PRESIDENT TRUMP AFTER LEARNING HE WOULD BE…
…The American prisoner released from Russia. The retired American school teacher freed by Russia. Tonight, President Trump's special envoy Steve Whit meeting with Vladimir Putin,
…every night. Tonight, the breaking news as we come on the air after Monday Night Football. The arrest tonight, the alleged threats against President Trump.
…excitement. Never seen before in the history of midterms, thanks to President Trump. Right after, outside, before the president's campaign trip, a reporter asking, where…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on World News Tonight in 5 of 7 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (71%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP