ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Jul 27, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
15 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 67%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 57%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| JD / Vance | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 67%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| LeBron | No | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 46%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Cracker Barrel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hurricane | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Odyssey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House Correspondents Dinner | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zelenskyy / Ukraine | No | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 29%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 21%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP