ABC World News Tonight, September 2, 2026
On the Sep 2, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 5 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 57%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 52%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Tiger Woods | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 19%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 25%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Nepal | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 65%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| USS Abraham Lincoln | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Coin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lake Tahoe / Otter | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NASA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ebola | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…record deployment. What The ship's commander is now saying tonight about President Trump's comments about their length of time at sea. Tonight, a mother and…
…judge. Aaron Katursky tonight. Aaron, thank you. Now to the war in Iran, the USS Lincoln finally docking in Thailand. Thousands of American sailors back…
…driver's license now taken away for five years, and you will hear the judge's warning to Tiger Woods. Tonight, the breaking headline in the NBA.
…a parking lot. Tonight, is New York City's mayor about to make a major change in public schools when it comes to A.I. banning it?
…while a passenger plane was refueling. Jet fuel seemed pouring out of the wing of a China Air 747 when a refueling truck unexpectedly moved.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-02:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-02:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP