Will “Pam / Bondi” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Pam / Bondi” was said on The Last Word in 4 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
42%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Pam / Bondi
- Probability
- 42% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Pam / Bondi |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Pam / Bondi” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Pam / Bondi” was said on The Last Word in 4 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Pam / Bondi” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Pam / Bondi’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/bondi-or-pam (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=bondi%20%2F%20pam · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP