Will “AI / Artificial Intelligence” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 15 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (7%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 26% · n=15
- Settled
- 1/15 (7%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 15 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Sep 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 2 | |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jun 10, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Jun 1, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| May 20, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “AI / Artificial Intelligence” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 15 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (7%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “AI / Artificial Intelligence” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP