What is the probability “Socialist / Socialism” is said on The Briefing next time?

41%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Socialist / Socialism” be said on The Briefing next time?

Name: The Briefing: “Socialist / Socialism” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 23, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said on The Briefing in 1 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (17%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 23, 2026, 21:41 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Briefing with Jen Psaki

Socialist / Socialism

Probability: 41% · n=6
Settled: 1/6 (17%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Amy Klobuchar say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Josh Shapiro say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will JB Pritzker say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Troy Jackson say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Aug 20, 2026	Socialist / Socialism	Kalshi	No
Aug 6, 2026	Socialist / Socialism	Kalshi	No
Jun 26, 2026	Socialist / Socialism	Kalshi	Yes
Jun 24, 2026	Socialist / Socialism	Kalshi	No
May 28, 2026	Socialism / Socialist	Kalshi	No
Nov 27, 2025	Socialist / Socialism	Kalshi	No

Questions

How often is “Socialist / Socialism” said on The Briefing?: As of Oct 23, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said on The Briefing in 1 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 27, 2025 (17%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026.
What is the probability “Socialist / Socialism” is said on The Briefing next time?: 41%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Socialist / Socialism’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP