Will “Reserve” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Reserve” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 5 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
Reserve
- Probability
- 40% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Moving a Castle by Hand Dwindling Oil Reserves The Foo Fighters Formula
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does “Reserve” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Reserve” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 5 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Reserve” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Reserve’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/reserve (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=reserve · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP