Will “Inflation” appear on the next NYT front page?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Inflation” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 3 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 31, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.

44%from settlement history only · n=3counts: anyone
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The New York Times (front page)

Inflation

Probability
44% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last 8 front pages
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Thursday, October 15otherNYT front-page headlines, October 12–18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026In transcript

Rising Energy Costs Push Inflation at a Rapid Pace

Thursday, September 17otherNYT front-page headlines, September 14–20, 2026 · Sep 20, 2026In transcript

Trump Urges Cut as New Chairman Tries to Put a Lid on Inflation

Wednesday, September 2otherNYT front-page headlines, August 31–September 6, 2026 · Sep 6, 2026In transcript

WORRY OVER INFLATION

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 28, 2026InflationPolymarketYes
Jun 21, 2026InflationPolymarketNo
May 31, 2026InflationPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does “Inflation” appear on the NYT front page?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Inflation” appeared on the NYT front page on 1 of 3 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 31, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026.
What is the probability “Inflation” appears on the NYT front page next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP