Will “Iran” be said 5+ times on Meet the Press next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said 5+ times on Meet the Press in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 26, 2026.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in it.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Meet the Press

Iran (5+ times)

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Mike WaltzotherMeet the Press (NBC), September 27, 2026 · Sep 27, 2026 · 4:02In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

narratorotherMeet the Press (NBC), August 30, 2026 · Aug 30, 2026 · 0:57In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Chris Van HollenotherMeet the Press (NBC), August 23, 2026 · Aug 23, 2026 · 29:02In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Bill Gates say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Jamie Raskin say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Ted Cruz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Tim Scott say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 26, 2026Iran (5+ times)KalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Iran (5+ times)” said on Meet the Press?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said 5+ times on Meet the Press in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 26, 2026.
What is the probability “Iran (5+ times)” is said on Meet the Press next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Iran (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/iran-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=iran%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP