Will “Hormuz” be said on Meet the Press next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Hormuz” was said on Meet the Press in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Meet the Press
Hormuz
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 5 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Hormuz” said on Meet the Press?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Hormuz” was said on Meet the Press in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Hormuz” is said on Meet the Press next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Hormuz’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/hormuz (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=hormuz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP