Will “Democracy” be said on Meet the Press next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democracy” was said on Meet the Press in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

41%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Meet the Press

Democracy

Probability
41% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Jamie RaskinguestMeet the Press (NBC), September 6, 2026 · Sep 6, 2026 · 25:20In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Chris Van HollenotherMeet the Press (NBC), August 23, 2026 · Aug 23, 2026 · 26:17In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Bill Gates say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during Meet the Press? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Jamie Raskin say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ted Cruz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tim Scott say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 20, 2026DemocracyKalshiNo0
Mar 29, 2026DemocracyKalshiNo–
Jan 5, 2026DemocracyKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Democracy” said on Meet the Press?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democracy” was said on Meet the Press in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jan 4, 2026.
What is the probability “Democracy” is said on Meet the Press next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘Democracy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/democracy (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=democracy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP