Will “America First” be said on Meet the Press next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “America First” was not said on Meet the Press in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 23, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

44%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Meet the Press

America First

Probability
44% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 5 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Bill Gates say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Jamie Raskin say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Ted Cruz say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Tim Scott say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Hakeem Jeffries say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Mike Waltz say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Ro Khanna say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 26, 2026America FirstKalshiNo
Apr 19, 2026America FirstKalshiNo
Jan 5, 2026America FirstKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “America First” said on Meet the Press?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “America First” was not said on Meet the Press in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 5, 2026.
What is the probability “America First” is said on Meet the Press next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Meet the Press: ‘America First’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/meet-the-press/words/america-first (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=meet-the-press&word=america%20first · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=meet-the-press&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP