Will “2028 / Campaign” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “2028 / Campaign” was not said on Fox News in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
2028 / Campaign
- Probability
- 33% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | 2028 / Campaign |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 2028 / Campaign | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 2028 / Campaign | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “2028 / Campaign” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “2028 / Campaign” was not said on Fox News in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “2028 / Campaign” is said on Fox News next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘2028 / Campaign’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/2028-or-campaign (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=2028%20%2F%20campaign · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP