Will “Republican” be said on The Late Show next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Republican” was said on The Late Show in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert
Republican
- Probability
- 52% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for The Late Show with Stephen Colbert yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Republican” said on The Late Show?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Republican” was said on The Late Show in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Republican” is said on The Late Show next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Late Show: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP