The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: Episode, Oct 16, 2025

Thu, Oct 16EpisodeHistory onlyThe Late Show with Stephen Colbert

Updated

Markets

14 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
CNN Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Crazy Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Democrat Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Andy / Cohen No–new new word, no probability yet–
Censorship No–new new word, no probability yet–
Economy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Free Speech No–new new word, no probability yet–
New Year No–new new word, no probability yet–
Retire / Retirement No–new new word, no probability yet–
TikTok No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tour No–new new word, no probability yet–
Woke No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCOLBERTMENTION-25OCT16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP