The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: Episode, Dec 12, 2025
Kalshi What will Ben or Jerry say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert?
Markets
11 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Americone Dream | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Activist / Activism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Half Baked / Cherry Garcia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palestine / Gaza / West Bank | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Silence / Silenced / Silencing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unilever | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vermont | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 29%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP