The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: Episode, Dec 3, 2025
Kalshi What will Rachel Maddow say on The Late Show with Stephen Colbert?
Markets
7 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Guard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC03 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP