The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: Episode, Dec 2, 2025
Kalshi What will Mikie Sherrill say on the The Late Show with Stephen Colbert?
Markets
8 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Campaign | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Energy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Navy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Transit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP