The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: Episode, Dec 10, 2025
Kalshi What will Andrew Sorkin say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert?
Markets
10 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | Yes | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bubble | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nvidia | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Depression | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prediction Market | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Squawk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCOLBERTMENTION-25DEC10 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP