The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: Episode, Nov 21, 2025
Kalshi What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corporation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Capitalist / Capitalism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Native American | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 18%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCOLBERTMENTION-25NOV21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP