The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: Episode, Jan 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert?
Markets
9 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 21%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | No | 23%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Greenland | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCOLBERTMENTION-26JAN13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP