Will “New Year” be said on The Late Show next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “New Year” was not said on The Late Show in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert
New Year
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for The Late Show with Stephen Colbert yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | New Year |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “New Year” said on The Late Show?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “New Year” was not said on The Late Show in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 16, 2025.
- What is the probability “New Year” is said on The Late Show next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Late Show: ‘New Year’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert/words/new-year (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert&word=new%20year · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP