Will “Sit Out” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sit Out” was said on Survivor in 3 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (30%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

31%from settlement history only · n=10counts: the host
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
the host
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=sit%20out

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Sit Out

Probability
31% · n=10
Settled
3/10 (30%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · settled no

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What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · settled no

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 13, 2026Sit OutKalshiNo
May 6, 2026Sit OutKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026Sit OutKalshiNo
Apr 22, 2026Sit OutKalshiYes
Apr 15, 2026Sit OutKalshiNo
Apr 8, 2026Sit OutKalshiNo
Apr 1, 2026Sit OutKalshiNo
Mar 25, 2026Sit OutKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026Sit OutKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026Sit OutKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Sit Out” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Sit Out” was said on Survivor in 3 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (30%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Sit Out” is said on Survivor next time?
31%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Sit Out’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/sit-out (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=sit%20out · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP