Will “Flint” be said on Survivor next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Flint” was said on Survivor in 7 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (70%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
56%from settlement history only · n=10counts: anyone
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Survivor
Flint
- Probability
- 56% · n=10
- Settled
- 7/10 (70%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Flint |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Flint | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Flint | Kalshi | Yes |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Flint | Kalshi | No |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Flint | Kalshi | No |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Flint | Kalshi | No |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Flint | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Flint | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Flint | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Flint | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Flint” said on Survivor?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Flint” was said on Survivor in 7 of 10 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (70%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026.
- What is the probability “Flint” is said on Survivor next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Flint’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/flint (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=flint · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP