Will Donald Trump say “Cheat / Cheater”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cheat / Cheater” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 95¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Cheat / Cheater
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…for our great seniors. They voted against voter ID because they want to cheat. They voted against proof of citizenship because they want to cheat.
…of it. Why do they want no voter ID? They want to cheat. Why do they want a man not to come up to them…
…a lot of crazy things. That's why they're great at cheating. They cheat like hell. And if they didn't cheat, they could never win because…
…great seniors. They voted against voter ID. Why? Because they want to cheat. They voted against proof of citizenship. Oh, sir, may I please see…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cheat / Cheater |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (13 of 14 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cheat / Cheater | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (3 of 5 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Cheat / Cheater”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cheat / Cheater” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Cheat / Cheater” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Cheat / Cheater’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cheat-or-cheater (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cheat%20%2F%20cheater · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP