# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-05-02 (settled) · 10 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-968 · as_of 2026-10-26T07:47:44Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-05-02 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-968 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 26, 00:00 AM ET and May 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Pocahontas	pocahonta	17	12	0.71	YYYYYYnYnn	0.48	hist	0	0	no	1
Greenland	greenland	9	4	0.44	YnnnYYnnY	0.44	hist	0	0	no	1
Autopen	autopen	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Rocket	rocket	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crimea	crimea	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	86	3	0.03	nnnnnYnnnn	0.21	hist	0	0	no	1
First Lady	first lady	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	yes	1
Powell	powell	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	no	1