Will Donald Trump say “Ship / Submarine”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ship / Submarine” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 25, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 25, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Ship / Submarine
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…even a All they do is shoot everybody, kill everybody, and rob ships, right? She comes over here and she runs and she says, "I…
…You know what their number one industry is? Being pirates and robbing ships. No. All they have is crime. And she sailed. I don't know…
…Nebraska, made a little speech, and he took off like a rocket ship. You saw that, right? It was going to be close. Not close…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ship / Submarine |  Polymarket | No |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Ship / Submarine | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Ship / Submarine”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ship / Submarine” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 25, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Ship / Submarine” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Ship / Submarine’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ship-or-submarine (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ship%20%2F%20submarine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP