Will Donald Trump say “Where are you”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Where are you” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (75%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Where are you
- Probability
- 45% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Laura Lee, thank you, Laura. Hi, Laura. Thank you, Gus. Bileracus, where are you? Thank you. Thank you, Gus. Another great guy. Carlos Gimenez. Carlos,…
…of National Intelligence Jay Clayton, National Cyber Director Sean Camon -- where are you, Sean? Where the hell is you? I got to get this…
…Oh, I can't forget. Where are the ladies from North Carolina? Where are you? Look at them. They follow me all over the world. They…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Where are you |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Where are you | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Where are you | Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Where are you | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Where are you”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Where are you” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 2, 2026 (75%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Where are you” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Where are you’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/where-are-you (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=where%20are%20you · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP