Lemonade Stand: Episode, Oct 28, 2026

By Oct 28EpisodeHistory onlyLemonade Stand

Updated

Markets

13 words listed
Listed words: result, and the probability published before the event
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Money open93%n=15 from settlement history95¢ Polymarket
Different open86%n=7 from settlement history98¢ Polymarket
Problem open86%n=7 from settlement history98¢ Polymarket
Iran / Iranian open84%n=6 from settlement history74¢ Polymarket
Car / Vehicle open68%n=8 from settlement history86¢ Polymarket
Red open63%n=18 from settlement history72¢ Polymarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ timesopen61%n=3 from settlement history62¢ Polymarket
Blue open59%n=18 from settlement history59¢ Polymarket
Trump 10+ timesopen58%n=10 from settlement history68¢ Polymarket
Green open56%n=7 from settlement history62¢ Polymarket
Nordic open53%n=4 from settlement history35¢ Polymarket
Korea / Korean open39%n=9 from settlement history57¢ Polymarket
Legality open19%n=7 from settlement history8¢ Polymarket

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 23, 2026 21:15 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. Next occasion, by Wed, Oct 28. Results will show how the venues settle the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-next-lemonade-stand-podcast-october-28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP