Will “Trump” be said 10+ times on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 10+ times on Lemonade Stand in 6 of 11 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (55%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 73¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Trump 10+ times
- Probability
- 58% · n=11
- Settled
- 6/11 (55%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
16 counted.
But let's start off. Let's move over to Trump and Russia because my gas is getting pretty expensive, Aiden. And it's mostly because of this…
…a great way to put it. way to put it uh but trump's response to this is like oh the the fake news never pays…
Counts: anyone
46 counted.
…If you pull up, and especially we're going to be talking- I'm nicer than Trump is. You see Trump talking about Ken Paxton? It's crazy.
…maybe it's like a bro thing. I mean, it's like it's literally Trump giving a speech, packs in front row, and he's like, Let's just…
Counts: anyone
65 counted.
…House's crackdown on the free press. If you pull this up, Donald Trump in the past few days banned CNN, MSNOW, and Politico from the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Trump 10+ times |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 16 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 46 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 65 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | No | 9 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 46 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 17 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Trump 10+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Trump 10+ times” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 10+ times on Lemonade Stand in 6 of 11 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 17, 2026 (55%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump 10+ times” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Trump 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/trump-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=trump%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP