Will “Korea / Korean” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Korea / Korean” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 10 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (30%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 26¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Korea / Korean
- Probability
- 39% · n=10
- Settled
- 3/10 (30%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
22 counted.
…months ago, because refinery capacity in Russia is so limited right now, Russia has been importing diesel from South Korea over the last couple months.
…which is, you know, some real jobs are being lost in North Korea lately. Okay. And it turns out there was a big takedown recently…
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Korea / Korean |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | Yes | 22 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 27, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 20, 2026 | Korea / Korean | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Korea / Korean” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Korea / Korean” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 10 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (30%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Korea / Korean” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Korea / Korean’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/korea-or-korean (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=korea%20%2F%20korean · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP