Will “Car / Vehicle” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Car / Vehicle” was said on Lemonade Stand in 7 of 9 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 24, 2026 (78%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 7.
- Last 10
- 7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 74¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Car / Vehicle
- Probability
- 68% · n=9
- Settled
- 7/9 (78%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
4 counted.
Why do they all start with liquids being poured in car?
they're really pouring it all over our car and causing real damage. What What are you seeing? What's uh or anything that's just caught your…
Counts: anyone
6 counted.
…people, you know, whether or not they need to fill their own car with diesel. It affects the prices of everything that is transported or…
…entire family's life very quickly. An example would be like trouble with your car, you know, and then having to pay a car repair bill.
Counts: anyone
3 counted.
…you guys see the story of the man who died in a vehicle accident? And then when the judge was deciding the punishment, the defendant…
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Car / Vehicle |  Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Car / Vehicle | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Car / Vehicle | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Car / Vehicle | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Car / Vehicle | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Car / Vehicle | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Car / Vehicle | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Car / Vehicle | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Vehicle / Car | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Car / Vehicle” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Car / Vehicle” was said on Lemonade Stand in 7 of 9 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 24, 2026 (78%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Car / Vehicle” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Car / Vehicle’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/car-or-vehicle (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=car%20%2F%20vehicle · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP