Will “Blue” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Blue” was said on Lemonade Stand in 12 of 19 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (63%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=19, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 51¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Blue
- Probability
- 59% · n=19
- Settled
- 12/19 (63%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
…sorry to say don't care about like a colorist right like they don't care if the the the reds are perfect and the blues are
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
Because I will pay the $8 for the blue check that allows it to guarantee. Priority eyeball position. There's a premium tier. Yeah. I just…
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
know anything, all of a sudden out of the blue comes this massive Chinese company. At the time, they're like 50 billion, which is still…
Every settled listing
newest first · 19 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Blue |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | 16 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 27, 2026 | Blue | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Blue” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Blue” was said on Lemonade Stand in 12 of 19 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (63%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Blue” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=19). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Blue’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/blue (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=blue · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP