Will “Green” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Green” was said on Lemonade Stand in 5 of 8 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (62%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 5/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 73¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Green
- Probability
- 56% · n=8
- Settled
- 5/8 (62%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
3 counted.
…I heard is that um the one of the big limiters on green energy is battery technology which is that like you can have ton…
…place like Texas, I don't know what Texas is split on like green energy production is versus fossil fuel energy production. Uh I think obviously…
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
are dramatically increasing their green energy. And then something happened, I think that over this last week, week or two weeks, Germany, uh, like actually…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Green |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 27, 2026 | Green | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Green” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Green” was said on Lemonade Stand in 5 of 8 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (62%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Green” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Green’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/green (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=green · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP