Will “Middle East” be said on All-In Podcast next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Middle East” was not said on All-In Podcast in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.

29%from settlement history only · n=3counts: anyone
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All-In Podcast

Middle East

Probability
29% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 1 of 4

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, October 16, 2026 · Oct 16, 2026 · 40:00In transcript

…the way, what an incredible opportunity that's now been lost in the Middle East where Saudi, UAE, Qatar, they were all massive producers of oil,…

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 18) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 11) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 4) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 12, 2026Middle EastPolymarketNo
May 29, 2026Middle EastPolymarketNo
May 22, 2026Middle EastPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Middle East” said on All-In Podcast?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Middle East” was not said on All-In Podcast in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Middle East” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/middle-east (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP