Will “National Security” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was said on All-In Podcast in 1 of 7 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (14%), most recently on Apr 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
National Security
- Probability
- 26% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | National Security |  Polymarket | No |
| May 29, 2026 | National Security | Polymarket | No |
| May 22, 2026 | National Security | Polymarket | No |
| May 15, 2026 | National Security | Polymarket | No |
| May 8, 2026 | National Security | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 24, 2026 | National Security | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 17, 2026 | National Security | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “National Security” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was said on All-In Podcast in 1 of 7 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2026 (14%), most recently on Apr 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “National Security” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP