Will “Civilization” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Civilization” was said on All-In Podcast in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Civilization
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…dark ages so this is an interesting point from history if you go back to the medieval time period chinese civilization was much more advanced
civilization ending. I mean, at a minimum, that is a mother of all product liability lawsuits. Is that the type of liability you can just…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Civilization |  Polymarket | No |
| May 29, 2026 | Civilization | Polymarket | No |
| May 22, 2026 | Civilization | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Civilization” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Civilization” was said on All-In Podcast in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Civilization” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Civilization’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/civilization (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=civilization · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP