Will “Prediction” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Prediction” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Prediction
- Probability
- 66% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
ongoing prediction starting with the SaaSpocalypse. Yes. But I think that David's right, is that what's happening is software prices will definitely go down, but…
…that loop model in a way that you can make a better prediction or better idea, each loop, where you can parallelize loops, and where…
And so they'll start to kind of make these predictions in software, but then you need to test them in the lab to say, okay,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Prediction |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 22, 2026 | Prediction | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Prediction” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Prediction” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Prediction” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Prediction’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/prediction (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=prediction · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP