Will “Innovation” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Innovation” was said on All-In Podcast in 8 of 12 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Innovation
- Probability
- 62% · n=12
- Settled
- 8/12 (67%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
And your insights into his financial innovations, I would say, with CoreWeave. The most important thing that you should always look at is how the…
…the latest proofs of important math problems result in direct improvements and innovations to life as we know it. Be honest and don't extrapolate weekly.…
…and what it means for the frontier models and how their biggest clients either trust or don't trust them with their data and their innovations?
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Innovation |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | No |
| May 29, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 22, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | No |
| May 15, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 8, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Innovation | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Innovation” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Innovation” was said on All-In Podcast in 8 of 12 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 24, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 31, 2026.
- What is the probability “Innovation” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 62%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Innovation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/innovation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=innovation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP