# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-07 · 12 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL07 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:40:14Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-07-07 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL07 ({word} = w of K rows): If David Muir says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Belgium	belgium	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	no
Khamenei / Supreme Leader	khamenei|supreme leader	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	0	0	n	0.39	no
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	0	0			0.39	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0			0.39	no
Graham Platner	graham platner	1	0	0			0.39	yes
NATO	nato	1	0	0			0.39	no
Pfizer	pfizer	1	0	0			0.39	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0			0.39	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.39	no
Turkey	turkey	1	0	0			0.39	yes
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	1	0	0			0.39	no