Will “Charlie / Kirk” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Charlie / Kirk” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
43%from settlement history only · n=3counts: the host
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- the host
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Charlie / Kirk
- Probability
- 43% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: the host
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | Charlie / Kirk |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Charlie / Kirk | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Charlie / Kirk | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Charlie / Kirk” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Charlie / Kirk” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Charlie / Kirk” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Charlie / Kirk’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/charlie-or-kirk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=charlie%20%2F%20kirk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP