Will “Belgium” be said on World News Tonight next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Belgium” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Belgium

Probability
38% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: the host

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 7, 2026BelgiumKalshiNo
Jul 6, 2026BelgiumKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Belgium” said on World News Tonight?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Belgium” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 6, 2026.
What is the probability “Belgium” is said on World News Tonight next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Belgium’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/belgium (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=belgium · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP