Will “Khamenei / Supreme Leader” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Khamenei / Supreme Leader” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
38%from settlement history only · n=2counts: the host
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- the host
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Khamenei / Supreme Leader
- Probability
- 38% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: the host
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | Khamenei / Supreme Leader |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Khamenei / Supreme Leader | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Khamenei / Supreme Leader” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Khamenei / Supreme Leader” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 6, 2026.
- What is the probability “Khamenei / Supreme Leader” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Khamenei / Supreme Leader’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/khamenei-or-supreme-leader (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=khamenei%20%2F%20supreme%20leader · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP